← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Gillingham win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gillingham | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1408.99 | 1506.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.64 | -13.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 39.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |