← EFL League One 2009-10 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T Kettle
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Walsall win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 1365.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1422.23 | 1438.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.76 | -30.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 37.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.50 | -1.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |