← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F Graham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeovil win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Colchester win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeovil | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.27 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1405.37 | 1450.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.02 | -25.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 51.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |