← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Penn
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 152.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1606.28 | 1441.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.88 | 8.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| league points | 81.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |