← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Pawson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oldham win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Southend win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oldham | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 4466.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1446.67 | 1502.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.93 | -1.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 61.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.40 |
| state index | -1.20 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |