← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Hartlepool win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1408.78 | 1599.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.03 | 14.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| league points | 50.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |