← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Hooper
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Cheltenham win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 4466.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1369.31 | 1422.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.88 | -3.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 12.00 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |