← EFL League One 2008-09 · Tue, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Penn
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeovil win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Hereford win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 14 | On target | 4 |
| 16 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeovil | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| elo | 1403.55 | 1341.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.60 | -50.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.30 | -1.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |