← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R East
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Northampton win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1465.07 | 1423.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.82 | -36.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 55.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.13 | -1.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |