← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Boyeson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 39% | 2.38 |
| Hereford win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hereford | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1354.86 | 1444.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.31 | -30.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 33.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.60 |
| state index | -1.72 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |