← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Haines
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Cheltenham win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 15 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 4459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1431.73 | 1355.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.41 | 16.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.00 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |