← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Gibbs
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Bristol Rvs win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol Rvs | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | — | 534.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1510.67 | 1537.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.36 | 3.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 57.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.40 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |