← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Cook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Oldham win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 4459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1391.98 | 1462.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.00 | -21.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |