β EFL League One 2008-09 Β· Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: K Friend
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Leyton Orient win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1464.06 | 1453.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.00 | 20.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.80 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |