← EFL League One 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Sarginson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Northampton win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 10 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1432.93 | 1505.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.96 | -4.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 42.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |