← EFL League One 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Mason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Leeds win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 13 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 286.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.12 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1605.05 | 1597.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.04 | 33.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 86.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.60 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.83 |
| travel km | — | 131.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |