← EFL League One 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Brighton win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Colchester | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 194.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1458.39 | 1378.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.99 | -8.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 57.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |