← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Hereford win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hereford | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1366.91 | 1596.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.67 | -33.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 33.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 2.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.60 |
| state index | -1.37 | -0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |