← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Hartlepool win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 13 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1431.54 | 1402.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.73 | -24.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 11.00 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |