← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F Graham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Swindon win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1387.97 | 1454.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.67 | 29.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 39.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |