← EFL League One 2008-09 · Fri, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Hall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Yeovil win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeovil | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| coach days | — | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1408.39 | 1539.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.23 | 28.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |