← EFL League One 2008-09 · Fri, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Oldham win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 158.00 | 4451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1430.73 | 1464.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.40 | -47.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 44.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.98 | -1.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |