← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Walsall win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 520.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1528.88 | 1475.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.99 | -7.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 73.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |