β EFL League One 2008-09 Β· Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Cheltenham win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 4445.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1346.62 | 1432.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.07 | 42.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 31.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |