← EFL League One 2008-09 · Tue, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Colchester win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 516.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1542.72 | 1462.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.48 | 0.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 73.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |