← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J Moss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Crewe win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 513.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1438.05 | 1533.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.35 | 31.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.40 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |