← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Northampton win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 145.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1425.86 | 1448.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.01 | -4.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 42.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |