← EFL League One 2008-09 · Tue, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Crewe win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1607.96 | 1432.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | 18.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 68.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |