← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S Attwell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Hereford win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1443.06 | 1400.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.06 | -39.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 38.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |