← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Carlisle win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southend | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1491.26 | 1451.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.10 | -11.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 55.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |