← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Colchester win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 263.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1621.17 | 1469.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.21 | 6.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 81.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.60 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |