← EFL League One 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T Kettle
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Hartlepool win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 506.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1404.00 | 1525.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.82 | 34.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 7.60 |
| state index | -0.84 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |