β EFL League One 2007-08 Β· Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Walsall win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Hartlepool win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Walsall | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1476.08 | 1422.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.75 | -35.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 63.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |