← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Tranmere win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1515.30 | 1477.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.98 | -13.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 63.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.20 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |