β EFL League One 2007-08 Β· Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L Mason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Cheltenham win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 13 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 4109.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1394.21 | 1571.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.79 | -4.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 48.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.60 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |