← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Bournemouth win | 26% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 8981.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1530.96 | 1469.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.41 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 79.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.40 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |