← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Brighton win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | — | 457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 4.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1496.21 | 1607.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.06 | -21.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 69.00 | 89.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.40 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.44 |
| travel km | — | 281.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |