← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R East
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Northampton win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1351.58 | 1518.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.92 | 10.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 36.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.60 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |