← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 70% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.50 |
| Luton win | 10% | 10.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1565.99 | 1352.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.39 | -16.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 77.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |