← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Beeby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swindon win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Port Vale win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swindon | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1451.76 | 1364.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.20 | 29.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 51.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |