← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Cheltenham win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| coach days | — | 4095.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1415.61 | 1412.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.80 | -6.69 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |