← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tranmere win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Nott'm Forest win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tranmere | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1490.05 | 1578.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.26 | 8.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 62.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |