β EFL League One 2007-08 Β· Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D Deadman
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| Northampton win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southend | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1538.55 | 1503.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.43 | 2.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| league points | 71.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |