← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Evans
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 40% | 2.37 |
| Luton win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1364.04 | 1463.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.95 | -10.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 43.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.66 |
| travel km | — | 116.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |