← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Carlisle win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1550.71 | 1574.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.39 | -10.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 79.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.80 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |