β EFL League One 2007-08 Β· Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Haywood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 65% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Bournemouth win | 12% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 429.00 | 8953.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1628.60 | 1415.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.30 | 21.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 82.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.60 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.30 |
| travel km | β | 177.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |