← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Armstrong
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Port Vale win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1489.14 | 1348.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.71 | 38.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| league points | 60.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |