← EFL League One 2007-08 · Tue, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Halsey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Nott'm Forest win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carlisle | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1589.22 | 1557.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.25 | -4.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 75.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.96 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.60 |
| state index | 0.69 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |