← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Brighton win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1528.03 | 1486.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.95 | 27.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 72.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.10 |
| travel km | — | 339.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |