← EFL League One 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Hartlepool win | 32% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hartlepool | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1458.54 | 1617.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.64 | -19.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 52.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.80 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |